Here's some food for thought. Anyone thinking that education, tourism, financial services, health, agriculture and ageing services will fill the gap in the economy left by the resources sector, think again.
It won't. Nothing like it. That's the message from Kate Hickie and Paul Dales at Capital Economics, an independent economic research company.
It wasn't always that way. 
When the two economists first started to look at the whole idea that China could revitalise our service exports by studying and holidaying here - rather than just buying our iron ore - they had high hopes the strategy would actually deliver.
After all, it made so much sense.
Just like resources won from the investment boom, those export services would win again from the next phase of China's development: the consumption boom.
But once they looked at all the numbers it became clear the hype didn't match up with what their spreadsheet was telling them.
"It would require a truly phenomenal set of circumstances for tourism and education exports to provide a major boost to the economy over the next decade" said Hickie and Dales.
The duo conclude that while "exports themselves could experience a period of impressive growth over the next decade, the most likely scenario is that they will provide a reasonably small boost to the level of gross domestic product of around 0.1 per cent a year."
That's trivial compared to the boom in resources exports, which Capital Economics calculate added as much as 0.3 per cent to gross domestic each year over the past 10 years.
Dales makes it clear that Australia is well placed to grow its exports of services over the next decade but "population changes in China and India alone won't be enough to generate decent growth in Australia's education and tourism exports."
They will, however, get a win as real incomes in China and India rise along with the gains made in their real exchange rates, which will give them more buying power when they head offshore.
Much has been made of 1 million tourists from China hitting our shores in 2015, the first time that threshhold was broken, and for sure it will keep rising. But dig deeper and the numbers show that less than 5 per cent of Chinese have a passport. The same goes for India. Just 5 per cent have a passport.
That's very low when compared with other countries like Japan where 25 per cent of the population have a passport, the US where it's 50 per cent and Australia where it is also 50 per cent.
For tourism to really have an impact on GDP here we would really need to see 35 per cent of the Chinese and Indian population with a passport.
The number of tourists from the two countries choosing to come to Australia would also need to double before it would have a decent impact on GDP. If that does, by some rare chance, really happen then exports to those two countries goes from 0.2 per cent of GDP to 1.4 per cent.
Education exports have their own quirky detail. Remembering that most people going to university in China are aged somewhere between 15 and 24, the key is trying to work out how many people will be in that age category over the next 10 years.
According to Capital Economics the number of people in China in that age group will fall from 227 million to 146 million by 2025. Australia needs more, not fewer, people going to uni for education to help exports.
"Overall, the next phase of China's and India's development provides a big opportunity for Australia's education and tourism sectors. While these sectors are well placed to enjoy a sustained period of strong growth, they are unlikely to provide the economy with a mining-style boom, " said Hickie and Dales.