Adele's vague but seemingly heartfelt promise to tour Australia, made while on stage in the USA this week, sounded good.
"I'm planning an Australian tour now," she told an Australian woman in the audience of her show in St Paul, Minnesota. "Why don't we get your info and when the Sydney show happens you can come, on us." 
That was enough to raise excitement levels in Australia, even though Adele just as quickly back-pedalled according to the reports, adding "well, if the tour happens" and then berating herself: "I always announce things when I'm not supposed to."
You can find plenty of people who would celebrate an Australian tour, beginning with the major promoters, who know this is a guaranteed sell-out given Adele's three albums have been massive number one records in the country and her northern hemisphere shows have been equally massively oversubscribed.
However, harder to find is anyone who knows, or is willing to admit knowing of such a tour.
While her statement that she's "planning" an Australian tour suggests her "people" are talking to some of our "people", Adele's current local label, Inertia, say they know nothing of it. Her soon to be new international label, Sony, don't know; and no promoters are willing to out themselves as either in talks with Adele's agents, or as one of those who may already have been knocked back.
What seems to be consensus is that a tour is likely, sooner or later. It makes financial sense for everyone, the demand clearly is here and the reviews from the tour so far are stellar.
It won't happen between   August and   November this year though, as the American shows are scheduled to run until   November, and a side-trip between sections of the American tour is neither attractive nor necessary.
It's possible a quick tour in late   November or early to mid   December, finishing in time for the family-conscious singer to be home for Christmas with her partner and young son, could offer continuity with the northern hemisphere tour and ride the wave of reports from the shows. More likely is a tour in   February, escaping the UK winter and catching the peak touring season in Australia and New Zealand.
If that window is missed though, it could be very late 2017 before we see her, given Adele told the Minnesota audience that her four year old son will be starting school - presumably in   August/  September next year - and she would want to be home for that.
This sounds reasonable, unless of course Adele is only waiting for the declaration of a winner in the federal poll before announcing her own news. Makes as much sense as any other theory.